Some leading economists and mathematicians built a computer model of the US economy to run various scenarios. Because this was such a big math problem, they used thousands of NASA and Amazon computers.
The computers were unable to create a working model because of the rising debt. Us Government Debt is currently over $36 Trillion. The increasing interest on the debt is unsustainable. The computers projected interest on the debt would consume one-third of all tax revenues within a decade. In 20 years, interest on the debt was estimated to be about 80% of tax revenue.
With the vast majority of revenues consumed by interest payments, there is not enough money remaining to pay for maintaining infrastructure, military, or other government services.
Economic chaos is the likely result. Many argue what would happen; Austerity Measures, Depression, Hyperinflation, ect. The reality is there are no good options.
The best option is to avoid economic chaos.
The good news is the computers estimated we have about 20 years before economic collapse. This gives us some time to fix the problem. But the longer we wait, the more drastic the solution.
The solution is obvious:
1. Increase income.
2. Reduce spending.
The Trump administration is aggressively taking steps to increase income (GDP) thru increasing tariff income, using tariff policy to reshore manufacturing, and encouraging investment in America.
DOGE found billions in waste and fraud. The Big, Beautiful Bill reduces spending about 2%. Deporting illegal aliens will reduce government welfare spending by billions of dollars. Further government reductions of spending are promised in the future.
There has been push-back on spending reductions, mostly from the court system. Many of the district court rulings have been overturned by Appellate Courts or the US Supreme Court.
It is not predetermined that the US economy crashes due to excessive debt. But major changes in income and spending have to be made.
This will be a generational change to the US economy. Regardless of what happens, there will be a significant transition period.
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